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	<title>The 1031 Guru</title>
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		<title>How to Get the Best Possible Loan for Your Property</title>
		<link>http://www.1031guru.com/2010/07/how-to-get-the-best-possible-loan-for-your-property/</link>
		<comments>http://www.1031guru.com/2010/07/how-to-get-the-best-possible-loan-for-your-property/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Jul 2010 21:58:53 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bob</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[commercial mortgage loan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mortgage market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[property loan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.1031guru.com/?p=460</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Posted courtesy of Marshal Commercial Funding Inc.
You have  three basic options to consider when shopping for a commercial mortgage  loan.  You can choose to:
1.    Finance your property  with a lender you already do business with, or
2.    Shop the mortgage  market on your own, or
3.    Employ the services of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Posted courtesy of <a href="http://marshallcf.com">Marshal Commercial Funding Inc.</a></p>
<p>You have  three basic options to consider when shopping for a commercial mortgage  loan.  You can choose to:</p>
<p>1.    Finance your property  with a lender you already do business with, or</p>
<p>2.    Shop the mortgage  market on your own, or</p>
<p>3.    Employ the services of  a commercial mortgage broker to shop the market</p>
<p>For most  property owners the option that significantly improves your chances of  getting  the best possible loan for your property is using the services of a  mortgage  broker.  As self-serving at that may sound, come to your own conclusion  as  you review the advantages and disadvantages of each option discussed  below.</p>
<p><strong>Option  #1 – Finance your property with your existing lender – </strong>Convenience  is the primary advantage  of financing your property with a lender you currently do business  with.   It certainly is the path of least resistance and in most cases it should  be the  quickest way to get the job done.  The disadvantage of this approach is  that you will never know whether you received the best rates and terms  currently  in the market.  The likelihood is that another lender will be more  competitive than your current lender.</p>
<p><strong>Option  #2 – Shop the mortgage market on your own – </strong>The  advantage of this option is that  you have a higher probability of finding better loan terms than  financing your  property with your existing lender.  The disadvantage is that it will  take  considerably more time and effort on your part.  If you take this option  I  have these suggestions for you:</p>
<p><strong>1.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Hunt down the  most competitive lenders. </strong>Contact commercial real  estate  professionals (real estate brokers, appraisers, escrow officers, etc) or  other  owners of commercial real estate who can recommend lenders for you to  contact.</p>
<p><strong>2.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Contact several  lenders for loan quotes.</strong> To do this correctly you  should put together a preliminary loan package that includes at a  minimum the  following documentation:</p>
<p>a.    Two years plus the  current YTD operating history on the property</p>
<p>b.    A current rent  roll</p>
<p>c.     Photos of the  property</p>
<p>d.    Personal financial  statements on the borrowers</p>
<p>e.    Two years of personal  tax returns</p>
<p>f.      A brief resume on the  owners</p>
<p>Ask  each lender to provide you their loan quote in writing.  Fight the urge  to  accept a loan quote over the phone.  A loan quote over the phone is  meaningless.  Get it in writing.</p>
<p><strong>3.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Let Lender A  know that Lender B has a better loan quote. </strong>It is not  uncommon, even in today’s  lending environment, that if a lender knows he doesn’t have the best  quote on  the table that he will go back to his underwriter and see if they can  tweak the  quote to make it more competitive.  Asking for an improvement in a loan  quote should be done tactfully.  If done in a heavy-handed manner it  will  only irritate the lenders which may backfire.</p>
<p><strong>4.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Do not focus too  heavily on one loan parameter –</strong> Often times a borrower  chooses the  lender that he considers best based on his one particular “hot button.”    There is nothing wrong with this approach, but a better approach is to  review  the pros and cons of each loan quote and then decide.  It is not  uncommon  that when comparing the loan quotes in detail, another lender is chosen  rather  than the one originally considered the borrower’s first  choice.</p>
<p><strong>5.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Do not dribble  the loan documentation to the lender. </strong>Once you have  chosen your lender,  one of the most important recommendations I can give you is to make the  loan  process as easy as possible for the lender.  You do this by completing  the  lender’s forms quickly, thoroughly and accurately.  A borrower who is  unwilling to focus on getting the forms to the lender in a timely manner  is  putting his loan at risk.</p>
<p><strong>6.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Do not violate  the “golden rule” of lending – </strong>which is, “He who has  the gold makes  the rules.”  Each lender has its own unique way of underwriting,  processing  and closing loans.  Don’t get into an argument about their process.   Provide them with what they are asking for and you’ll be better off in  the  end.</p>
<p><strong>Option  #3 – Employ the services of a commercial mortgage broker to shop the  market – </strong>There are four  distinct advantages of taking this option:</p>
<p><strong>1.</strong><strong> </strong>The primary  advantage of using a mortgage broker is that he knows which lenders have  the  most competitive rates.  It’s his job to know.</p>
<p><strong>2.</strong><strong> </strong>Compared to  shopping the market on your own, this option takes significantly less  time and  effort on the part of the owner.  Much of the “heavy lifting” of finding   the right lender and processing of the loan is performed by the mortgage  broker,  not by you.</p>
<p><strong>3.</strong><strong> </strong>Establishing trust  between the borrower and the lender is a vital component to insure a  successful  loan outcome.  If you’ve never worked with a particular lender, a trust  relationship has not been established.  On the other hand, a commercial  mortgage broker may have worked on several loans with this lender.  They   know each other.  They know each other’s idiosyncrasies and because of  their prior relationship there is a higher probability of getting the  loan  closed with a mortgage broker than by you going directly to the same  lender.</p>
<p><strong>4.</strong><strong> </strong>There are times in  the loan process where you need someone to be your advocate, someone who   strenuously defends your best interests.  This can best be accomplished  by  a mortgage broker who has an established relationship with the lender.   The  lender’s loan officer inadequately fills this role as he works for the  lender.  He is being paid by the lender.  Whose best interest do you  think he is looking after?</p>
<p>The  disadvantage of this option is that it may cost you an additional fee or  a  slightly higher interest rate for using the services of a mortgage  broker, but  it may not.  It just depends on the lender.  If you decide to use a  mortgage broker I have these suggestions for you:</p>
<p><strong>1.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Do not interview  residential mortgage brokers. </strong>Do not consider using  the services  of a residential mortgage broker as he does not have the expertise to  finance  commercial real estate.</p>
<p><strong>2.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Interview more  than one commercial mortgage broker.</strong> Get two or three  recommendations for commercial mortgage brokers to interview.  Prepare  several questions ahead of time.  Through the course of the interview  find  out whether you can trust them, whether they are competent and whether  they are  likeable.  Finish your interview with this question: How are you  different  than your competition?  Then choose one, and only  one.</p>
<p><strong>3.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Do not use more  than one commercial mortgage broker. </strong>When a borrower  uses the services of  more than one mortgage broker <strong><em>without their knowledge,</em></strong> all  trust  between borrower and broker evaporates.  If Mortgage Broker A calls his  lending sources and finds out that Mortgage Broker B has already talked  to one  or more of his favorite lenders, do you think Mortgage Broker A is going  to work  as hard on this loan request?  Not a chance.</p>
<p><strong>4.</strong><strong> </strong><strong>Request a  side-by-side comparison of loan quotes. </strong>A good  mortgage broker will get you  multiple quotes and then show them in a side-by-side comparison.  At the   top of the page will be Lender A, Lender B, Lender C, etc.  Down the  page  will be all the loan parameters a borrower needs to know in order to  make an  informed decision, such as loan amount, interest rate, loan term,  amortization,  loan fee, other financing costs, type of prepayment penalty, cash  required at  closing or estimated cash back on a refinance, before and after tax  cash-on-cash  return, to name just a few.  This side-by-side comparison of the loan  quotes makes it much easier to choose the lender that best meets your  particular  needs.</p>
<p>Which of  the three options you ultimately choose depends on which advantages and  disadvantages are most important to you.  However, I firmly believe that  a  mortgage broker’s counsel can help a borrower avoid serious pitfalls  when  shopping for a loan.  A wise man once said, “Plans fail for lack of  counsel, but with many advisers they succeed.”  That is why an owner  optimizes his chances of getting the best possible loan for his property  when  employing the services of a commercial mortgage broker.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Commercial Multi-Family Interest Rates Still Hover Around 5%…</title>
		<link>http://www.1031guru.com/2010/07/commercial-multi-family-interest-rates-still-hover-around-5%e2%80%a6/</link>
		<comments>http://www.1031guru.com/2010/07/commercial-multi-family-interest-rates-still-hover-around-5%e2%80%a6/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Jul 2010 20:42:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bob</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commercial Real Estate Market Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State of the Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.1031guru.com/?p=331</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Steven Wiltshire of Marcus &#38; Millichap Capital Corporation gave us this great information:



















 

July 8, 2010




Multi-Family Loan Programs &#62; $3  Million








Fixed Rate 


Agency  Lenders




Term


LTV


Interest  Rates 




5 Yr.


55 to  80%


4.35% to 4.80%




7  Yr.


55 to  80%


4.78%  to 5.23%




10  Yr.


55 to  80%


5.04% to 5.49%




15  Yr.


55 to  80%













Portfolio [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Steven Wiltshire of <a title="Marcus Millchap Capital Corporation" href="http://www.mmcapcorp.com" target="_blank">Marcus &amp; Millichap Capital Corporation</a> gave us this great information:</p>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="500">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="100%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="70%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td><strong><strong> </strong></strong></td>
<td>
<p align="right"><strong><strong>July 8, 2010</strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h1><strong><strong>Multi-Family Loan Programs &gt; $3  Million</strong></strong></h1>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="60%" valign="top">
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Fixed Rate </strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td colspan="2">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Agency  Lenders</strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="33%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Term</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="33%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>LTV</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="33%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Interest  Rates </strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">5 Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">4.35% to 4.80%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">7  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">4.78%  to 5.23%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">10  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">5.04% to 5.49%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">15  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
<td width="40%" valign="top">
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Portfolio  Lenders*</strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong><strong>LTV</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Interest  Rates </strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">5.75% to 6.75%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">6.00%  to 7.25%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">6.25%  to 8.00%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>*Rates based on fixed rate Act/360</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<h1><strong><strong>Multi-Family Loan Programs &lt; $3  Million</strong></strong></h1>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="60%" valign="top">
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Fixed Rate </strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td colspan="2">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Agency  Lenders</strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="33%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Term</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="33%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>LTV</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="33%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Interest  Rates </strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">3 Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">4.28% to 4.67%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">5  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">4.42%  to 4.84%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">7  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">4.85% to 5.27%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">10  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">5.24%  to 5.66%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">15  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
<td width="40%" valign="top">
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Portfolio  Lenders*</strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong><strong>LTV</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Interest  Rates </strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">5.50% to 6.40%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">5.75% to 6.75%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">6.25%  to 7.25%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">6.50%  to 8.00%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">55 to  75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>*Rates based on fixed rate Act/360</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<h1><strong><strong>Commercial Loan  Programs</strong></strong></h1>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="50%" valign="top">
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Fixed Rate </strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td colspan="2">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Portfolio</strong></strong><strong><strong> Lenders*</strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td width="31%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Term</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="31%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>LTV</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="38%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Interest  Rates </strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">5 Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55-75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">6.00% to 6.60%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">7  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55-75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">6.25%  to 6.75%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">10  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55-75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">6.25%  to 7.30%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">15  Yr.</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">55-75%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td width="31%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Bridge  Floating </strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="31%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>LTV</strong></strong></p>
</td>
<td width="38%">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Spread Over  Libor </strong></strong></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">Stabilized</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">65%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">225 to 300</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">Re-Position</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">275 to 350</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
<td width="50%" valign="top">
<table border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="80%">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td colspan="3">
<p align="center"><strong><strong>Index Rate </strong></strong><em><em>as  of 2-19-10</em></em></p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">3-Year  Swap</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">1.50%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">5-Year  Treasury</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">2.01%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">5-Year  Swap</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">2.26%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">7-Year  Treasury</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">2.69%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">7-Year  Swap</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">2.80%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">10-Year  Treasury</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">3.22%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">10-Year  Swap</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">3.27%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">30-Day  Libor</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">0.35%</p>
</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>
<p align="center">Prime</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">3.25%</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">90-Day  Libor</p>
</td>
<td>
<p align="center">0.54%</p>
</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</td>
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<p>(*Portfolio Lenders include Banks,  Life Insurance Companies and Credit  Unions)</td>
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<td colspan="2"><strong><strong>Economic  Commentary</strong></strong></td>
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<td width="50%">.6-18-10  The              <a href="http://massmail.marcusmillichap.com/cgi-bin/engine//log_click.pl?gl_sub=24682184&amp;gl_shid=38007&amp;mode=DOENC&amp;log=__LAST_ID__&amp;link_clicked=52616e646f6d4956cac436507ea34458308ccd2bf031e5a972b23baba68a69c9f3060a667e70eee0a21cfc91ab2f852e6bb14f1899b4fc3dbefb1c1be62ad89c2b9337a26b0b58e7" target="_blank">MSCI World              Index</a> of stocks rose for the ninth day, the longest              rally in 11 months, and Spanish bonds jumped on speculation  that              efforts to contain Europe’s debt              crisis will succeed. Treasuries fell, while gold climbed to a  record              high. Oil reversed losses to rebound to more than $77 per              barrel.  Treasuries headed for a weekly advance on  speculation              that subdued inflation will persuade the <a href="http://massmail.marcusmillichap.com/cgi-bin/engine//log_click.pl?gl_sub=24682184&amp;gl_shid=38007&amp;mode=DOENC&amp;log=__LAST_ID__&amp;link_clicked=52616e646f6d4956cac436507ea34458308ccd2bf031e5a97018afaaa666b3192f839d765796459af432ebc73489dca1" target="_blank">Federal              Reserve</a> to keep the benchmark interest rate at a              record low, supporting demand for government              securities.                 Rates for              Agency Multifamily mortgages dropped more than 15 bps, with  10-year              rates being offered below 5.5%.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.1031guru.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/chart.gif"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-454" title="chart" src="http://www.1031guru.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/chart.gif" alt="chart" width="425" height="174" /></a></td>
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<td colspan="3"><strong><strong>Recent  Transactions</strong></strong></td>
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<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>Multifamily Garden Apts. </strong><br />
Mountain View, CA<br />
$7,218,750<br />
5.45 Fixed<br />
30-yr term / 30-yr amort</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>Multifamily Garden Apts.</strong><br />
Canton, OH<br />
$7,169,000<br />
5.60 Fixed<br />
5-yr term / 30-yr amort.</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>Walgreens</strong><br />
Philadelphia, PA<br />
$4,600,000<br />
6.25 Fixed<br />
10-yr term / 25-yr amort..</td>
<td width="25%" valign="top"><strong>Multifamily Mid-Rise</strong><br />
Hawthorne, CA<br />
$2,598,750<br />
5.85 Fixed<br />
30-yr term / 30-yr amort.</td>
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<p align="center"><strong><strong>For more  information, contact:</strong></strong></p>
<p align="center">Steven  Wiltshire<br />
Associate Director<br />
Portland, OR<br />
Office: (503) 200-2046<br />
License: CA:  01432879<br />
<a title="mailto:Steven.Wiltshire@marcusmillichap.com" href="mailto:Steven.Wiltshire@marcusmillichap.com">Steven.Wiltshire@marcusmillichap.com</a></td>
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<td>Terms, rates and  conditions subject to change.</td>
<td>
<p align="right">www.MMCapCorp.com</p>
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<td width="500">
<hr size="2" />This information has been secured  from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no representations or  warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy of the information.  References to square footage or age are approximate. Buyer must verify the  information and bears all risk for any inaccuracies.<br />
Marcus &amp; Millichap  Real Estate Investment Services is a service mark of Marcus &amp; Millichap Real  Estate Investment Services, Inc.<br />
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		<title>Apartments Are Winners in the Near Future</title>
		<link>http://www.1031guru.com/2010/06/apartments-are-winners-in-the-near-future/</link>
		<comments>http://www.1031guru.com/2010/06/apartments-are-winners-in-the-near-future/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 27 Jun 2010 06:04:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bob</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Commercial Real Estate Market Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State of the Market]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.1031guru.com/?p=450</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is an interesting article published by IREM that is quite consistent  with my local and regional take on the  market.
Vacancy rates continue to rise in most commercial sectors and are not expected to level out in most markets until the end of this year or early 2011, according to the National Association [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>This is an interesting article published by <a href="http://www.irem.org" target="_blank">IREM</a> that is quite consistent  with my local and regional take on the  market.</strong></p>
<p>Vacancy rates continue to rise in most commercial sectors and are not expected to level out in most markets until the end of this year or early 2011, according to the National Association of Realtors<sup>®</sup>.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.realtor.org/research/chief_economist_bio">Lawrence Yun</a>, NAR chief economist, said there is one bright spot in commercial real estate. &#8221;The multifamily sector can expect increased demand as the economy creates jobs and new households are formed, likely in the second half of this year,&#8221; he said. &#8221;However, the office, warehouse and retail sectors continue to experience the delayed effects of the recession. These sectors should see gradual improvement after jobs pick up and create additional demand for space, meaning a broader improvement in commercial real estate is likely in 2011.&#8221;</p>
<p><a href="http://www.sior.com/">The Society of Industrial and Office Realtors<sup>®</sup></a>, in its SIOR Commercial Real Estate Index, an attitudinal survey of nearly 700 local market experts,(1) confirms that significant fallout from the recession remains, but to a lesser extent.</p>
<p>The SIOR index, measuring 10 variables, increased 2.7 percentage points to 38.2 in the first quarter, compared with a level of 100 that represents a balanced marketplace. This is the second gain following nearly three years of declines; the last time the market was in equilibrium was in the third quarter of 2007.</p>
<p>Development activity remains at a standstill with nine out of 10 respondents saying that it is virtually nonexistent in their markets.</p>
<p>Looking at the overall market, commercial vacancy rates appear to be approaching a plateau, according to NAR&#8217;s latest <em>COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE OUTLOOK</em>.(2) The NAR forecast for four major commercial sectors analyzes quarterly data in the office, industrial, retail and multifamily markets. Historic data were provided by CBRE Econometric Advisors.</p>
<p><strong>Office Market<br />
</strong>With an elevated level of sublease space available, vacancy rates in the office sector are projected to increase from 16.9 percent in the first quarter of this year to 17.6 percent in the first quarter of 2011, but should ease later next year.</p>
<p>Annual office rent is likely to fall 2.3 percent this year and decline another 2.1 percent in 2011. In 57 markets tracked, net absorption of office space, which includes the leasing of new space coming on the market as well as space in existing properties, is forecast to be a negative 24.6 million square feet this year and then a positive 25.5 million in 2011.</p>
<p><strong>Industrial Market<br />
</strong>Leasing activity in the industrial sector is below historical levels with higher vacancies, more tenant concessions from landlords and a steeper decline in rental rates. In addition, obsolete structures remain on the market. Industrial vacancy rates are expected to rise from 14.3 percent in the first quarter of 2010 to 14.8 percent in the first quarter of 2011, then decline modestly as the year progresses.</p>
<p>Annual industrial rent will probably drop 6.3 percent this year, and decline another 1.5 percent in 2011. Net absorption of industrial space in 58 markets tracked is seen at a negative 90.0 million square feet this year and a positive 135.6 million in 2011.</p>
<p><strong>Retail Market<br />
</strong>Retail vacancy rates should rise modestly from 12.6 percent in the first quarter of this year to 12.8 percent in the first quarter of 2011, and should hold at that level for most of next year.</p>
<p>Average retail rent is projected to decline 1.5 percent in 2010, then edge up by 0.4 percent next year. Net absorption of retail space in 53 tracked markets is likely to be a negative 3.7 million square feet this year and then a positive 8.9 million in 2011.</p>
<p><strong>Multifamily Market<br />
</strong>The apartment rental market &#8212; multifamily housing &#8212; is expected to benefit from an improving economy and job market. Multifamily vacancy rates are forecast to decline from 7.3 percent in the first quarter of this year to 6.3 percent in the first quarter of 2011.</p>
<p>With recent additions to supply, average rent is likely to slip 1.5 percent this year, and then rise 1.2 percent in 2011. Multifamily net absorption should be 145,700 units in 59 tracked metro areas this year, and another 214,500 in 2011.</p>
<p>The <em>COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE OUTLOOK </em>is published by the NAR Research Division for the commercial community. <a href="http://www.realtor.org/commercial">NAR&#8217;s Commercial Division</a>, formed in 1990, provides targeted products and services to meet the needs of the commercial market and constituency within NAR.</p>
<p>The NAR commercial components include commercial members; commercial committees, subcommittees and forums; commercial real estate boards and structures; and the NAR commercial affiliate organizations &#8212; CCIM Institute, Institute of Real Estate Management, Realtors<sup>®</sup> Land Institute, Society of Industrial and Office Realtors<sup>®</sup>, and Counselors of Real Estate.</p>
<p>Approximately 79,000 NAR and institute affiliate members offer commercial brokerage services.</p>
<p>The National Association of Realtors<sup>®</sup>, &#8220;The Voice for Real Estate,&#8221; is America&#8217;s largest trade association, representing 1.1 million members involved in all aspects of the residential and commercial real estate industries.</p>
<p>(1) The SIOR Commercial Real Estate Index, conducted by SIOR and analyzed by NAR Research, is a diffusion index based on market conditions as viewed by local SIOR experts. For more information contact Richard Hollander, SIOR, at 202/449-8200.</p>
<p>(2) Publication of additional analyses, including metropolitan data, will be posted under Economists&#8217; Commentary in the Research area of Realtor.org in coming weeks.</p>
<p>The next commercial real estate forecast and quarterly market report will be released on August 26.</p>
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